Refereed Publications - Richard P. Allan

2024| 2023| 2022| 2021| 2020| 2019| 2018| 2017| 2016| 2015| 2014| 2013| 2012| 2011| 2010| 2009| 2008| 2007| 2006| 2005| 2004| 2003| 2002| 2001| 2000| 1999| 1998|
Papers in preparation   |   Other publications   |   Blogs   |   Google Scholar   |   Altmetrics 2024

In press

  (102)  Loeb N, S-H Ham, RP Allan, TJ Thorsen, B Meyssignac, S Kato, GC Johnson, JM Lyman (2024) Observational Assessment of Changes in Earth’s Energy Imbalance Since 2000, Surveys Geophys. (Special Issue: Earth's Changing Water and Energy Cycle), accepted, doi: 10.1007/s10712-024-09838-8 . PDF (accepted version)


  (137)  Chen Y, Haywood J, Wang Y, Malavelle F, Jordan G, Peace A, Partridge DG, Cho N, Oreopoulos L, Grosvenor D, Field P, Allan RP & Lohmann U (2024), Substantial cooling effect from aerosol-induced increase in tropical marine cloud cover, Nature Geosci., doi:10.1038/s41561-024-01427-z (Reading press release) #openaccess

  (136)  Allan D & RP Allan (2024) Odden ice melt linked to Labrador Sea ice expansions and the Great Salinity Anomalies of 1970-1995,J Geophys. Res.- Oceans, 129, e2023JC019988, doi:10.1029/2023JC019988 (PDF; Accepted version; Read-only version) #openaccess

   (135) Allan RP (2024), Droughts are blowing in the wind Nature Water 2, 223-224, doi:10.1038/s44221-024-00209-6 (PDF)

   (134) Trancoso R, J Syktus, RP Allan et al. (2024), Significantly wetter or drier future conditions for one to two thirds of the world’s population. Nature Comm. 15, 483, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-44513-3

   (133) Allan RP & H Douville (2024), An even drier future for the arid lands PNAS 121, e2320840121, doi:doi: 10.1073/pnas.2320840121


   (132) De Mora L et al. inc. RP Allan (2023), Scenario choice impacts carbon allocation projection at global warming levels ESD 14, 1295–1315, doi:doi: 10.5194/esd-14-1295-2023

  (131)  Song SY, Yeh SW, Allan RP, Xie S-P, An S-I & Park H-S (2021), Climate sensitivity controls global precipitation hysteresis in a changing CO2 pathway, npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 6, 156, doi:10.1038/s41612-023-00484-2 #openaccess

  (130)  Allan RP (2023) Amplified seasonal range in precipitation minus evaporation, Environ. Res. Lett., doi:10.1088/1748-9326/acea36 (Press release, Supplementary material).

  (129)  John, V.O., L. Shi, E.-S. Chung, R.P. Allan, S.A. Buehler, and B.J. Soden (2023), Upper Tropospheric Humidity [in "State of the Climate in 2021", Blunden, J. et al., Eds.,], Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104 (9), S55-S56, doi:10.1175/2023BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 (PDF)

  (128)  Ossó A, P Craig & RP Allan (2023), An assessment of CMIP6 climate signals and biases in temperature, precipitation and soil moisture over Europe Int. J. Clim., 43, 5698–5719. doi:10.1002/joc.8169 (PDF)

  (127)  Arias PA, ML Rendón, JA Martínez & RP Allan (2023) Changes in atmospheric moisture transport over tropical South America: an analysis under a climate change scenario. Clim Dyn. doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-06833-4

   (126) von Shuckmann et al. inc. RP Allan (2023), Heat stored in the Earth system 1960-2020: Where does the energy go? ESSD 15, 1675–1709, doi:10.5194/essd-15-1675-2023

  (125)  Palmer PI, Wainwright CM, Dong B. et al. inc. Allan RP (2023)Drivers and impacts of Eastern African rainfall variability., Nature Rev. Earth Environ., doi:10.1038/s43017-023-00397-x


  (124)  Douville H, Allan RP, Arias PA, Betts RA, Caretta MA, Cherchi A, et al.(2022). Water remains a blind spot in climate change policies., PLOS Water., 1(12), e0000058. doi:10.1371/journal.pwat.0000058

  (123)  Andrews T and co-authors including RP Allan (2022). On the effect of historical SST patterns on radiative feedback, J Geophys. Res., 127, e2022JD036675. doi:10.1029/2022JD036675 (See also Editor Highlight; JGR Most cited 2022-2024)

JGR top citations

  (122)  Allan RP, KM Willett, VO John & T Trent (2022), Global changes in water vapor 1979-2020, J. Geophys. Res., 127, e2022JD036728, doi:10.1029/2022JD036728 [ note that grey shading in Fig. 9 shows model ensemble range; Figs. 4/S1/S4 shading also shows ensemble range, not standard deviation as stated] (JGR Most cited 2022-2024)

GRL top download

  (121)  Wainwright CM, RP Allan & E Black (2022), Consistent trends in dry spell length in recent observations and future projections, Geophys. Res. Lett. 49, e2021GL097231 doi:10.1029/2021GL097231 (GRL Top Downloaded 2022-2024)

    John, V.O., L. Shi, E.-S. Chung, R.P. Allan, S.A. Buehler, and B.J. Soden (2022), Upper Tropospheric Humidity [in "State of the Climate in 2021", Blunden, J. and T. Boyer, Eds.,], Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103 (8), S54-S55, doi:10.1175/2022BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 (PDF)

  (120)  Liu C, Y Yang, X Liao, N Cao, J Liu, N Ou, RP Allan, L Jin, N Chen & R Zheng (2022) Discrepancies in Simulated Ocean Net Surface Heat Fluxes over the North Atlantic. Adv. Atmos. Sci., in press, doi:10.1007/s00376-022-1360-7 (PDF; press release)

  (119)  Mahmoud SH, T-Y Gan, RP Allan, J Li & C. Funk (2022) Worsening drought of Nile basin under shift in atmospheric circulation, stronger ENSO and Indian Ocean dipole. Sci Rep, 12, 8049. doi:10.1038/s41598-022-12008-8 (PDF).

  (118)  Peña-Angulo D, SM Vicente-Serrano, F Domínguez-Castro, J Lorenzo-Lacruz, C Murphy, J Hannaford, RP Allan, Y Tramblay, F Reig-Gracia & A El Kenawy (2022) The complex and spatially diverse patterns of hydrological droughts across Europe. Water Resources Research, 58, e2022WR031976, doi:10.1029/2022WR031976

  (117)  Swaminathan R, Parker RJ, Jones CG, Allan RP, Quaife T, Kelley DI, de Mora L & Walton J (2022) The Physical Climate at Global Warming Thresholds as seen in the UK Earth System Model, Journal of Climate, 35, 29-48, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0234.1

  (116)  Craig PM & RP Allan (2022), The role of teleconnection patterns in the variability and trends of growing season indices across Europe. Int J Climatol., 42, 1072-1091, doi:10.1002/joc.7290

  (115)  Ossó A, RP Allan, E Hawkins, L Shaffrey & D Maraun (2022), Emerging new climate extremes over Europe Clim. Dyn., 58, 487-501, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05917-3 (PDF | corrected Fig. 7 schematic)


    IPCC (2021) [RP Allan drafting author]: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/9781009157896.001(Online, PDF)

    Douville, H., K. Raghavan, J. Renwick, R.P. Allan, P. A. Arias, M. Barlow, R. Cerezo-Mota, A. Cherchi, T. Y. Gan, J. Gergis, D. Jiang, A. Khan, W. Pokam Mba, D. Rosenfeld, J. Tierney, O. Zolina (2021) Water Cycle Changes. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. pp. 1055-1210, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.010. (Online, PDF)

    Arias P.A. et al. [including R.P.Allan] (2021) Technical Summary. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. pp. 33-144. doi:10.1017/9781009157896.002 (Online, PDF)

    Seneviratne et al. (2021) [R.P. Allan contributing author] Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis, pp. 1513-1766, doi: 10.1017/9781009157896.013 (Online, PDF)

    Gulev et al. (2021) [R.P. Allan contributing author] Changing State of the Climate System. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis, pp. 287-422. doi:10.1017/9781009157896.004 (Online, PDF)

  (114)  Yeh SW, Song SY, RP Allan An S-I & Shin J (2021), Contrasting response of hydrological cycle over land and ocean to a changing CO2 pathway, npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 4, 53, doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00206-6 #openaccess

  (113)  van der Schrier G, RP Allan, A Ossó, PM Sousa, H Van de Vyver, B Van Schaeybroeck, R Coscarelli, AA Pasqua, O Petrucci, M Curley, M Mietus, J Filipiak, P Štěpánek, P Zahradníĉek, R Brázdil, L Řezníĉková, EJM van den Besselaar, R Trigo & E Aguilar (2021), The 1921 European drought: Impacts, reconstruction and drivers, Clim. Past. 17, 2201-2221, doi: 10.5194/cp-17-2201-2021 (PDF; submitted version)

  (112)  Wainwright CM, E Black & RP Allan (2021), Future Changes in Wet and Dry Season Characteristics in CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations, J. Hydrometeorology, 11, 2339-2357, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-21-0017.1 #openaccess

  (111)  Watters D, A Batagglia & RP Allan (2021), The Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation According to Multiple Decades of Global Satellite Observations, Three CMIP6 Models, and the ECMWF Reanalysis, J. Climate, 34, 5063-5080, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0966.1. #openaccess PDF

    John, V.O., L. Shi, E.-S. Chung, R.P. Allan, S.A. Buehler, and B.J. Soden (2021), Upper Tropospheric Humidity [in "State of the Climate in 2020", Blunden, J. and D. S. Arndt, Eds.,], Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, S55, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0098.1 (PDF)

  (110)  Fowler H, Lenderink G, Prein A, Westra S, Allan RP, Ban N, Barbero R, Berg P, Blenkinsop S, Do H, Guerreiro S, Haerter J, Kendon E, Lewis E, Schaer C, Sharma A, Villarini G, Wasko C, & Zhang X (2021) Anthropogenic intensification of short-duration rainfall extremes, Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 2, 107-122, doi:10.1038/s43017-020-00128-6.

  (109)  Fowler H, H Ali, RP Allan, N Ban, R Barbero, P Berg, S Blenkinsop, NS Cabi, S Chan, M Dale, RJH Dunn, M Ekstrom, JP Evans, G Fosser, B Golding, SB Guerreiro, GC Hegerl, A Kahraman, EJ Kendon, G Lenderink, E Lewis, X Li, PA O'Gorman, HG Orr, KL Peat, AF Prein, D Pritchard, C Schar, A Sharma, PA Stott, R Villalobos-Herrera, G Villarini, C Wasko, MF Wehner, S Westra and A Whitford (2021) Towards advancing scientific knowledge of climate change impacts on short-duration rainfall extremes, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A., (highlighted by AGU Advances, April 2021) 379, 20190542, doi:10.1098/rsta.2019.0542.


  (108)  Black E, E Pinnington, C Wainwright, F Lahive, T Quaife, RP Allan, P Cook, A Daymond, P Hadley, PC McGuire, A Verhoef and P-L Vidale (2020), Cocoa plant productivity in West Africa under climate change: a modelling and experimental study Environ. Res. Lett., 16, 014009, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abc3f3. PDF #openaccess

  (107)  Allison LC, M Palmer, RP Allan, L Hermanson, C Liu, DM Smith (2020), Observations of planetary heating since the 1980s from multiple independent datasets, Environ. Res. Commun., 2, doi: 10.1088/2515-7620/abbb39. PDF (open access)

  (106)  Liu C RP Allan, M Mayer, P Hyder, D Desbruyeres, L Cheng, J Xu, F Xu and Y Zhang (2020) Variability in the global energy budget and transports 1985-2017, Clim. Dyn., 55, 3381-3396, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05451-8. (PDF (accepted version) | supplementary | DEEP-C Version 4 data)

    John, V.O., L. Shi, E.-S. Chung, R.P. Allan, S.A. Buehler, and B.J. Soden (2020), Upper Tropospheric Humidity [in "State of the Climate in 2019", Blunden, J. and D. S. Arndt, Eds.,], Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, S45, doi:10.1175/2020BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 (PDF)

  (105)  Menary MB, J Robson, RP Allan, BB Booth, C Cassou, G Gastineau, J Gregory, D Hodson, C Jones, J Mignot, MA Ringer, R Sutton, L Wilcox, R Zhang (2020), Aerosol-forced AMOC changes in CMIP6 historical simulations Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2020GL088166, doi: 10.1029/2020GL088166. PDF

  (104)  Liu C, X Liao, J Qiu, Y Yang, X Feng, RP Allan, N Cao, J Long & J Xu (2020), Observed variability of intertropical convergence zone over 1998-2018 Environ. Res. Lett., 15,104011, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aba033. PDF

  (103)  Allan RP, M Barlow, MP Byrne, A Cherchi, H Douville, HJ Fowler, TY Gan, AG Pendergrass, D Rosenfeld, ALS Swann, LJ Wilcox and O Zolina (2020) Advances in understanding large-scale responses of the water cycle to climate change, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1472, 49-75, doi: 10.1111/nyas.14337. PDF #openaccess (part of @NYASciences Special Issue: The Year in Climate Science Research | NYAS top cited and top downloaded paper)
[also features in The Juice piece on Australian flooding (from 33 seconds in!]

  (102)  Loeb N, H. Wang, RP Allan, T Andrews, K Armour, JNS Cole, J-L Dufresne, P Forster, A Gettelman, H Guo, T Mauritsen, Y Ming, D Paynter, C Proistosescu, MF Stuecker, U Willén, & K Wyser (2020) New Generation of Climate Models Track Recent Unprecedented Changes in Earth's Radiation Budget Observed by CERES, Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2019GL086705, doi: 10.1029/2019GL086705. PDF (accepted version)

  (101)  Schwarz M, D Folini, S Yang, RP Allan, M Wild (2020) Changes in atmospheric shortwave absorption as important driver of dimming and brightening, Nature Geoscience, 13, 110-115, doi: 10.1038/s41561-019-0528-y. PDF (accepted version) | blog | Press release.


  (100)  Allan RP, S Blenkinsop, HJ Fowler, AJ Champion (2019) Atmospheric precursors for intense summer rainfall over the UK, Int. J. Climatology, 40, 3849-3867. doi: 10.1002/joc.6431. PDF

  (99)  Allan D & RP Allan (2019) Seasonal changes in the North Atlantic cold anomaly: the influence of cold surface waters from coastal Greenland and warming trends associated with variations in subarctic sea ice cover, J Geophys. Res.- Oceans, 124, 9040-9052, doi: 10.1029/2019JC015379 PDF [Correction: Figure 3 shows the correlation for the SST trends and not with global SST as stated in the caption though both look very similar].

  (98)  Zhan C, RP Allan, S Liang, D Wang & Z Song(2019), Evaluation of Five Satellite Top-of-Atmosphere Albedo Products over Land, Remote Sens. 2019, 2, 11, 2919, doi:10.3390/rs11242919 (PDF #openaccess)

  (97)  Wainwright C, JH Marsham, RJ Keane, DP Rowell, DL Finney, E Black, RP Allan (2019), "Eastern African Paradox" rainfall decline due to shorter not less intense Long Rains, npj Climate & Atmospheric Science, 2, 34, doi:10.1038/s41612-019-0091-7 (PDF #openaccess)

  (96)  Wainwright C, L Hirons, N. Klingaman, RP Allan, E Black, A Turner (2019), The impact of air-sea coupling and ocean biases on the seasonal cycle of southern West African precipitation Clim. Dyn. , doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04973-0 (PDF #openaccess)

    John, V.O., L. Shi, E.-S. Chung, R.P. Allan, S.A. Buehler, and B.J. Soden (2019), Upper Tropospheric Humidity [in "State of the Climate in 2018"], Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100, S28-S29, doi:10.1175/2019BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 (PDF)


  (95)  Schmidt A, M Mills, S Ghan, JM Gregory, RP Allan, T Andrews, CG Bardeen, A Conley, PM Forster, A Gettelman, RW Portmann, S Solomon and OB Toon (2018), Volcanic radiative forcing from 1979 to 2015, J. Geophys. Res., 123, 12491-12508, doi: 10.1029/2018JD028776 (accepted PDF).

  (94)  Dunning C, E Black & RP Allan (2018), Later wet seasons with more intense rainfall over Africa under future climate change, J. Climate, 31, 9719-9738, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0102.1. PDF #openaccess

  (93)  Hyder P, J Edwards, RP Allan, H Hewitt, T Bracegirdle, J Gregory, R Wood, A Meijers, J Mulcahy, P Field, K Furtado, A Bodas-Salcedo, K Williams, D Copsey, S Josey, C Liu, C Roberts, C Sanchez, J Ridley, L Thorpe, S Hardiman, M Mayer, D Berry and S Belcher (2018) Critical Southern Ocean climate model biases traced to atmospheric model cloud errors, Nature Communications, 9, 3625, doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-05634-2. PDF | Supplementary

  (92)  Hill PJ, C Chiu, RP Allan, J-D Chern (2018), Characterizing the radiative effect of rain using a global ensemble of cloud resolving simulations, Journal of Advances Modeling Earth Systems (JAMES), 10, 2453-2470, doi: 10.1029/2018MS001415 (PDF, dataset) #openaccess

    Allan RP, C Liu (2018) Evaluating Large-Scale Variability and Change in Tropical Rainfall and Its Extremes in Tropical Extremes: Natural Variability and Trends (Ed. V. Vuruputur, J. Sukhatme, R. Murtugudde, R. Roca) ISBN 978-0-12-809248-4, doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-809248-4.00005-4.

    John, V.O., L. Shi, E.-S. Chung, R.P. Allan, S.A. Buehler, and B.J. Soden (2018), Upper Tropospheric Humidity [in "State of the Climate in 2018"], Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, S27-S28, doi:10.1175/2018BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 (PDF)

  (91)  Blenkinsop S, Fowler HJ, Barbero R, Chan SC, Guerreiro SB, Kendon E, Lenderink G, Lewis E, Li X-F, Westra S, Alexander, Allan RP, Berg P, Dunn RJH, Ekström M, Evans JP, Holland G, Jones R, Kjellström E, Klein-Tank A, Lettenmaier D, Mishra V, Prein AF, Sheffield J, and Tye MR (2018) The INTENSE project: using observations and models to understand the past, present and future of sub-daily rainfall extremes, Adv. Sci. Res., 15, 117-126, doi:10.5194/asr-15-117-2018 (PDF)

  (90)  Hill, P., R. P. Allan, J. C.Chiu, A. Bodas-Salcedo, P. Knippertz (2018), Quantifying the contribution of different cloud types to the radiation budget in southern West Africa, J. Climate, 31, 5273-5291, doi:10.1002/2016JD025246. PDF

  (89)  Liu, C. and Allan, R.P.(2018) Unrealistic increases in wind speed explain reduced eastern Pacific heat flux in reanalyses., J. Climate, 31, 2981-2993, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0642.1 (accepted PDF)


  (88)  Dunning, C., R. P. Allan and E. Black (2017), Identification of deficiencies in seasonal rainfall simulated by CMIP5 climate models Environ. Res. Lett., 12, 114001, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa869e. PDF

  (87)  Malavelle, F.F., J.M. Haywood, A. Jones, A. Gettelman, L. Clarisse, S. Bauduin, R.P. Allan, I.H.H. Karset, J.E. Kristjansson, L. Oreopoulos, N. Cho, D. Lee, N. Bellouin, O. Boucher, D. P. Grosvenor, K.S. Carslaw, S. Dhomse, G.W. Mann, A. Schmidt, H. Coe, M.E. Hartley, M. Dalvi, A.A. Hill, B.T. Johnson, C.E. Johnson, J.R. Knight, F.M. O'Connor, D.G. Partridge, P. Stier, G. Myhre, S. Platnick, G.L. Stephens, H. Takahashi & T. Thordarson (2017), Strong constraints on aerosol-cloud interactions from volcanic eruptions, Nature, 546, 485-491, doi: 10.1038/nature22974 (PDF, Correction, blog).

    Allan, R.P. (2017) Decadal climate variability and the global energy balance, CLIVAR Exchanges/PAGES Magazine articles, vol. 25(1), 20-24, doi: 10.22498/pages.25.1.20 (PDF)

    John, V.O., L. Shi, E.-S. Chung, R.P. Allan, S.A. Buehler, and B.J. Soden (2017), Upper Tropospheric Humidity [in "State of the Climate in 2016"], Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, S25-S26, doi:10.1175/2017BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 (PDF)

  (86)  Liu, C., Allan, R.P., M. Mayer, P. Hyder, N.G. Loeb , C.D. Roberts, M. Valdivieso, J. Edwards, P.-L. Vidale (2017) Evaluation of satellite and reanalysis-based global net surface energy flux and uncertainty estimates, J. Geophysical Research, 122, 6250-6272, doi: 10.1002/2017JD026616. (PDF | data | blog)

  (85)  Allan, R.P. (2017), Global energy budget: Elusive origin of warming slowdown, Nature Climate Change, 7, 316-317, doi: 10.1038/nclimate3282. PDF

  (84)  Maidment, R., D. Grimes, E. Black, E. Tarnavsky, H. Greatrex, R. P. Allan, T. Stein, E. Nkonde, S. Senkunda, E. M. U. Alcantara (2017), A new, long-term daily satellite-based rainfall dataset for operational monitoring in Africa, Scientific Data, 4, 170063, doi: 10.1038/sdata.2017.63. PDF

  (83)  Roberts, C., M. Palmer, R. P. Allan, D. Desbruyeres, P. Hyder, C. Liu, D. Smith (2017), Surface flux and ocean heat transport convergence contributions to seasonal and interannual variations of ocean heat content, J Geophys. Res.- Oceans, 122, 726-744, doi: 10.1002/2016JC012278.


  (82)  Dunning, C., E. Black and R. P. Allan (2016), The onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall over Africa, J Geophys. Res., 121, 11405-11424, doi:10.1002/2016JD025428. PDF

  (81)  Hill, P., R. P. Allan, J. C.Chiu, T. Stein (2016), A multi-satellite climatology of clouds, radiation and precipitation in southern West Africa and comparison to climate models, J Geophys. Res., 121, 10857-10879, doi:10.1002/2016JD025246. PDF

 (80)  Allan, R. P., D. A. Lavers and A. J. Champion (2016), Diagnosing links between atmospheric moisture and extreme daily precipitation over the UK, Int. J. Climatol., 36, p. 3191-3206, doi: 10.1002/joc.4547. PDF

  (79)  Zveryaev, I. I., M. Zhan and R. P. Allan, (2016), Interannual Variability in the Summertime Hydrological Cycle over European Regions, J Geophys. Res., 121, p.5381-5394, doi:10.1002/2015JD024425. PDF

 (78)   Loeb, N.G., H. Wang, A. Cheng, S. Kato, J.T. Fasullo, K.-M. Xu and R.P. Allan (2016) Observational Constraints on Atmospheric and Oceanic Cross-Equatorial Heat Transports: Revisiting the Precipitation Asymmetry Problem in Climate Models, Climate Dynamics, 46, 3239-3257, 10.1007/s00382-015-2766-z. PDF [see also blog and NCAS highlight]

 (77)   MacIntosh, C., R. P. Allan, L. Baker, N. Bellouin, W. Collins, Z. Mousavi and K. P. Shine (2016), Contrasting fast precipitation responses to tropospheric and stratospheric ozone forcing, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 1263-1271, doi:10.1002/2015GL067231. Online, PDF | press release | [please note that 0.0017 mm/day should be 0.00017 mm/day in column 5 (FPR), row 5 (FULL)]

   Wood, E., R Lamb, S Warren, N Hunter, J Tawn, RP Allan, S Laeger (2016) Development of large scale inland flood scenarios for disaster response planning based on spatial/temporal conditional probability analysis, E3S Web of Conferences 7, 01003, doi:10.1051/e3sconf/20160701003


  (76)  Kumar, S., R. P. Allan, F. Zwiers, D. Lawrence and P. Dirmeyer (2015), Revisiting Trends in Wetness and Dryness in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability and Water Limitations Over Land, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 10,867-10,875, doi:10.1002/2015GL066858 PDF

  (75)  Maidment, R.I., R.P. Allan and E. Black (2015) Recent observed and simulated changes in precipitation over Africa, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 8155-8164, doi: 10.1002/2015GL065765 | PDF | see also blog article

  (74)  Liu, C. Allan, R. P., P. Berrisford , M. Mayer , P. Hyder, N. Loeb , D. Smith , P.-L. Vidale, J. Edwards (2015) Combining satellite observations and reanalysis energy transports to estimate global net surface energy fluxes 1985-2012, J. Geophysical Research, doi: 10.1002/2015JD023264, 120, 9374-9389, PDF | Supplementary

  (73)  Champion, A.J., R.P. Allan and D.A. Lavers, (2015) Atmospheric Rivers don't explain UK Summer Extreme Rainfall, Journal of Geophysical Research, 120, 6731-6741, doi: 10.1002/2014JD022863 | PDF

  (72)  Knippertz, P., H. Coe, J.C. Chiu, M.J. Evans, A.H. Fink, N. Kalthoff, C. Liousse, C. Mari, R.P. Allan, B. Brooks, S. Danour, C. Flamant, O.O. Jegede, F. Lohou and J.H. Marsham (2015) The DACCIWA project: Dynamics-aerosol-chemistry-cloud interactions in West Africa, Bulletin American Meteorol. Soc., 96, 1451-1460., doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00108.1 | PDF

  (71)  Shine, K. P., R.P. Allan, W.J. Collins and J.S Fuglestvedt, (2015) Metrics for linking emissions of gases and aerosols to global precipitation changes, Earth System Dynamics, 6, 525-540, doi:10.5194/esdd-6-719-2015. PDF | Discussion Paper

  (70)  Hegerl G.C., E. Black, R.P. Allan, W.J. Ingram, D. Polson, K. Trenberth, R. Chadwick, P.A. Arkin, B. Balan-Sarojini, A. Becker, A. Dai, P. Durack, D. Easterling, H. Fowler, E. Kendon, G. Huffman, C. Liu, R. Marsh, M. New, T. Osborn, N. Skliris, P. Stott, P.-L. Vidale, S. Wijffels, L. Wilcox, K. Willett, X. Zhang (2014) Challenges in quantifying changes in the global water cycle, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, 1097-1115, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00212.1. PDF

  (69)  Smith, D., R.P. Allan, A.C. Coward, R. Eade, P. Hyder, C. Liu, N.G. Loeb, M.D. Palmer, M. Roberts, and A.A. Scaif (2015) Earth's energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 1205-1213, doi:10.1002/2014GL062669 | PDF | Supplementary .
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  (68)  Maidment, R. I., D.I.F. Grimes, R.P. Allan, E. Tarnavsky, M. Stringer, T. Hewison, R. Roebeling, E. Black (2014) The 30-year TAMSAT African Rainfall Climatology And Time-series (TARCAT) Dataset, J. Geophys. Res., 119, 10619-10644, doi:10.1002/2014JD021927 | PDF | Editor's Highlight

  (67)  Tarnavsky, E., D.I.F. Grimes, R. I. Maidment, E. Black, R.P. Allan, M. Stringer, R. Chadwick, F. Kayitakire (2014) Extension of the TAMSAT Satellite-based Rainfall Monitoring over Africa and from 1983 to present, J. Applied Meteorol. Clim., 53,, p. 2805-2822, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0016.1 | PDF

  (66)  Allan, R.P. (2014) Dichotomy of drought and deluge, Nature Geosciences, 7, 700-701, doi:10.1038/ngeo2243 | PDF

  (65)  Allan, R. P., C. Liu, N. G. Loeb, M. D. Palmer, M. Roberts, D. Smith and P.-L. Vidale (2014) Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985-2012, Geophysical Research Letters, 10.1002/2014GL060962 41, 5588-5597, PDF | Supplementary | Correction |
Carbon brief blog | Climate Lab Book | NCAS highlight | NASA Sensing Our Planet article | Highlights in Nature Climate Change , GRL and EOS.

  (64)  Allan, R. P., C. Liu, M. Zahn, D. A. Lavers, E. Koukouvagias and A. Bodas-Salcedo (2014) Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations, Surv. Geophys., 35, 533-552, doi:10.1007/s10712-012-9213-z | PDF

  (63)  Skliris, N., R. Marsh, S. A. Josey, S. A. Good, C. Liu, R. P. Allan (2014) Salinity changes in the World Ocean since 1950 in relation to changing surface freshwater fluxes Climate Dynamics, 43, P.709-736, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2131-7.

  (62)  Pearson, K. J., G. M. S. Lister, C. E. Birch, R. P. Allan, R. J. Hogan and S. J. Woolnough (2014), Modelling The Diurnal Cycle of Tropical Convection Across the "Grey Zone", Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 140, 491-499, doi: 10.1002/qj.2145 | PDF

  (61)  Field P.R, J. R. Cotton, K. McBeath, A. P. Lock, S. Webster, R.P. Allan (2014), Improving a convection permitting model simulation of a cold air outbreak, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 140, 124-138, doi:10.1002/qj.2116 | PDF

  (60)  Liu, C., R. P. Allan, M. Brooks and S. F. Milton (2014) Comparing tropical precipitation simulated by the Met Office NWP and climate models with satellite observations, J. Applied Meteorol. and Climatology, 53, 200-214, doi:10.1175/jamc-d-13-082.1 | PDF | Online
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    Hartmann, D.L., A.M.G. Klein Tank, M. Rusticucci, L.V. Alexander, S. Brönnimann, Y. Charabi, F.J. Dentener, E.J. Dlugokencky, D.R. Easterling, A. Kaplan, B.J. Soden, P.W. Thorne, M. Wild and P.M. Zhai [R.P. Allan contributing author] (2013) Observations: Atmosphere and Surface. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, doi:10.1017/CBO9781107415324.008. PDF

  (59)  Zahn, M. and R. P. Allan, (2013) Quantifying present and projected future atmospheric moisture transports onto land, Water Resources Research. 49, p.7266-7277, doi:10.1002/2012WR013209 | PDF draft (part of Special Section on Oceanic Sources of Continental Precipitation

  (58)  Polson D., G.C. Hegerl, R. P. Allan and B. Balan Sarojini (2013) Have greenhouse gases intensified the contrast between wet and dry regions? Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 4783-4787. doi:10.1002/grl.50923 . PDF | supplemental (Online) | Online

  (57)  Maidment, R. I., D.I.F. Grimes, R.P. Allan, H. Greatrex, O. Rojas and O. Leo (2013) Evaluation of satellite-based and model re-analysis rainfall estimates for Uganda Meteorological Applications, 20, 308-317 doi: 10.1002/met.1283 | PDF
   "We dedicate this paper to the expertise, commitment and passion for African rainfall and its importance to society by our co-author and friend Dr David Grimes who sadly passed away on 22 December 2011 and who will be sorely missed by a great many people."

  (56)  Lavers, D. A., R. P. Allan, G. Villarini, B. Lloyd-Hughes, D. J. Brayshaw and A. J. Wade (2013) Future Changes in Atmospheric Rivers and Their Implications for Winter Flooding in Britain, Environmental. Res. Lett. 8, 034010 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034010 | PDF | ERL July highlight and insight (see also press release | Independent | BBC). This article was certified an ERL Highlights of 2013.

  (55)  Liu, C. and R. P. Allan, (2013) Observed and simulated precipitation responses in wet and dry regions 1850-2100 , Environmental Research Letters, 8, 034002, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034002 | PDF | Supplementary | NCAS highlight

  (54)  John, V.O., R. P. Allan, W. Bell, S. A. Buehler, A. Kottayil (2013), Assessment of inter-calibration methods for satellite microwave humidity sounders, J. Geophys. Res., 118, 4906-4918, DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50358 Online | PDF

  (53) Zahn, M. and R. P. Allan, (2013) Climate Warming related strengthening of the tropical hydrological cycle, J Climate. 26, p.562-574 Online PDF
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  (52)  Lavers, D. A., G. Villarini, R. P. Allan, E. F. Wood and A. J. Wade (2012) Atmospheric Rivers in atmospheric reanalyses: their detection, and links with the large-scale climatic circulation and British winter floods, J Geophys. Res. , 117, D20106, doi:10.1029/2012JD018027, | PDF | RIO summary

  (51)  Williams, C.J.R., R. P. Allan, D.R. Kniveton (2012) Diagnosing atmosphere-land feedbacks in CMIP5 climate models Environmental Research Letters, 7, 044003 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044003. PDF | Online |

  (50)  Allan, R.P., (2012) Regime dependent changes in global precipitation, Climate Dynamics 39, 827-840 doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1134-x. PDF | (also cited in report for the World Bank)

  (49)  Liu, C., R. P. Allan, and G. J. Huffman (2012) Co-variation of temperature and precipitation in CMIP5 models and satellite observations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L13803, doi:10.1029/2012GL052093 PDF (Online) Please note, columns 9 and 11 of Table 2 (dPland/dPocean) should have units of (%/%) and not (%/K) (see Correction).

  (48)  Loeb, N. G., J. M. Lyman, G. C. Johnson, R. P. Allan, D. R. Doelling, T. Wong, B. J. Soden and G. L. Stephens (2012), Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty, Nature Geoscience, 5, 110-113, doi:10.1038/ngeo1375. PDF | Online | | Supplemental |ABC Science | press release | Judith Curry's blog | NCAS blog

  (47)  Liu, C.-L. and R. P. Allan, (2012) Multi-satellite observed responses of precipitation and its extremes to interannual climate variability, J. Geophys. Res. 117, D03101, doi:10.1029/2011JD016568. PDF (online)

    Bengtsson, L., Koumoutsaris, S., Bonnet, R.-M., Allan, R.P., Fröhlich, C., Heintzenberg, J., Ingmann, P., Kandel, R., Loeb, N.G., Soden, B., Trenberth, K.E. (Editors) (2012) Observing and Modeling Earth's Energy Flows, Space Sciences Series of ISSI, Volume 41, published by Springer, pp 484, ISBN 978-94-007-4326-7. More Details (articles also available in Surveys in Geophysics, Volume 33, Nos. 3-4, 2012)

  (46)  O'Gorman, P. A., R. P. Allan, M. P. Byrne and M. Previdi (2012) Energetic constraints on precipitation under climate change, Surv. Geophys., 33, 585-608, doi: 10.1007/s10712-011-9159-6. PDF | Online | See also Special Issue on Earth's Energy Flows

  (45)  R. P. Allan (2012) The role of water vapour in Earth's energy flows, Surv. Geophys., 33, 557-564, doi: 10.1007/s10712-011-9157-8. PDF | Online | See also Special Issue on Earth's Energy Flows
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  (44)  Lavers, D. A., R. P. Allan, E. F. Wood, G. Villarini, D. J. Brayshaw and A. J. Wade (2011) Winter floods in Britain are connected to atmospheric rivers, Geophys. Res. Lett. , 38, L23803, doi: 10.1029/2011GL049783. PDF | New Scientist | WCD blog | NEW: Atmospheric Rivers GRL Special Collection

  (43)  Zahn, M. and R. P. Allan, (2011) Changes in water vapor transports of the ascending branch of the tropical circulation, J. Geophys. Res. 116, D18111, doi:10.1029/2011JD016206. PDF | Online

  (42)  Allan, R.P., (2011), Combining satellite data and models to estimate cloud radiative effect at the surface and in the atmosphere, Meteorological Applications, 18, p.324-333, doi:10.1002/met.285. PDF | Online | See also blog discussion of paper and a now corrected earlier internet discussion.

  (41)  Allan, R.P., M.J. Woodage, S.F. Milton, M.E. Brooks and J.M. Haywood, (2011), Examination of longwave radiative bias in general circulation models over north Africa during May-July, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 137, 1179-1192, DOI: 10.1002/qj.717 PDF | NCEO highlight 2011 (p.19) | (see also comment by John Marsham) | see also press release relating to Space Innovation Centre

  (40)  Haywood J.M., B.T. Johnson, S.R. Osborne, A.J. Baran, M. Brooks, S.F. Milton, J. Mulcahy, D. Walters, R.P. Allan, A. Klaver, P. Formenti, H.E. Brindley, S. Christopher, P. Gupta, (2011), Motivation, rationale and key results from the GERBILS Saharan dust measurement campaign, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 137, 1106-1116, DOI: 10.1002/qj.797 PDF | Online |

  (39)  John, V.O., G. Holl , R.P. Allan , S.A. Buehler, D.E. Parker and B.J. Soden (2011), Clear-sky biases in satellite infra-red estimates of upper tropospheric humidity and its trends, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D14108, doi:10.1029/2010JD015355 PDF

  (38)  Allan, R. P. (2011), Human influence on rainfall, Nature, 470, 344-345. PDF and online version. Also covered by BBC Radio 4, Discovery News and more.

  (37) Allan, R. P. and I. I. Zveryaev (2011), Variability in the summer season hydrological cycle over the Atlantic-Europe region 1979-2007, Int. J. Climatol., 31, p.337-348, doi:10.1002/joc.2070. PDF
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  (36)  Pearson, K. J., R. J. Hogan, R. P. Allan, G. M. S. Lister, and C. E. Holloway (2010), Evaluation of the model representation of the evolution of convective systems using satellite observations of outgoing longwave radiation, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D20206, doi:10.1029/2010JD014265. PDF

  (35)  Zveryaev, I. I. and R. P. Allan, (2010), Summertime Precipitation Variability over Europe and its Links to Atmospheric Dynamics and Evaporation, J Geophys. Res., 115, D12102, doi:10.1029/2008JD011213. PDF

  (34)   Allan, R. P., B. J. Soden, V. O. John, W. Ingram and P. Good (2010) Current changes in tropical precipitation, Environ. Res. Lett., 5, 025205, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025205 PDF | Online | Insight Article | NCEO article
  •   Allan, R. P. and B. G. Liepert (2010) Anticipated changes in the global atmospheric water cycle, Environ. Res. Lett., 5, 025201, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025201 PDF (Special Issue)
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      (33)   Haywood, J. M., R. P. Allan, J. Bornemann, P. Forster, P. N. Francis, S. Milton, G. Rädel, A. Rap, K. P. Shine and R. Thorpe (2009) A Case Study of the Radiative Forcing of Persistent Contrails Evolving into Contrail-Induced Cirrus J. Geophys. Res., 114,D24201, doi:10.1029/2009JD012650. PDF | Sunday Times Article | Guardian | NCEO article

      (32)  John, V.O., R.P. Allan and B.J. Soden (2009), How robust are observed and simulated precipitation responses to tropical ocean warming? Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L14702, doi:10.1029/2009GL038276. PDF

      (31)   Allan, R. P. (2009), Examination of Relationships between Clear-Sky Longwave Radiation and Aspects of the Atmospheric Hydrological Cycle in Climate Models, Reanalyses, and Observations, J. Climate, 22, 3127-3145 doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2616.1. PDF
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      (30)  Slingo, A., N.A. Bharmal, G.J. Robinson, J.J. Settle, R.P. Allan, H.E. White, P.J. Lamb, M. Issa Lele, D.D. Turner, S. Mc Farlane, E. Kassianov, J. Barnard, C. Flynn and M. Miller (2008), Overview of observations from the RADAGAST experiment in Niamey, Niger. Part 1: Meteorology and thermodynamic variables, J. Geophys Res., 113, D00E01, doi:10.1029/2008JD009909. PDF version

      (29)  Allan, R. P. and B. J. Soden (2008), Atmospheric Warming and the Amplification of Precipitation Extremes, Science, 321, (5895) p.1481-1484, doi:10.1126/science.1160787. Online | Link / PDF / Supplementary Material | Guardian article | see also

      (28)  Milton, S. F., G. Greed, M. A. Brooks, J. Haywood, B. Johnson, Allan, R. P., A. Slingo and W. M. F. Grey (2008), Modeled and observed atmospheric radiation balance during the West African dry season: Role of mineral dust, biomass burning aerosol, and surface albedo, J. Geophys Res., 113, D00C02, doi:10.1029/2007JD009741. PDF

      (27)  Zveryaev, I. I., J. Wibig and R. P. Allan, (2008), Contrasting Interannual variability of Atmospheric Moisture over Europe during Cold and Warm Season, Tellus, 60A, 32-41, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2007.00283.x" PDF
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      (26)  Allan, R. P., A. Slingo, S.F. Milton and M.A. Brooks (2007), Evaluation of the Met Office global forecast model using Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget (GERB) data, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 133, 1993-2010, doi:10.1002/qj.166 (PDF)

      (25)  Allan, R. P. and B. J. Soden (2007), Large discrepancy between observed and simulated precipitation trends in the ascending and descending branches of the tropical circulation, Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L18705, doi:10.1029/2007GL031460. (PDF)

  •   Randall, D.A., R.A. Wood, S. Bony, R. Colman, T. Fichefet, J. Fyfe, V. Kattsov, A. Pitman, J. Shukla, J. Srinivasan, R.J. Stouffer, A. Sumi and K.E. Taylor (2007), Cilmate Models and Their Evaluation. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, [Contributing Author] (PDF)

  •   Trenberth, K.E., P.D. Jones, P. Ambenje, R. Bojariu, D. Easterling, A. Klein Tank, D. Parker, F. Rahimzadeh, J.A. Renwick, M. Rusticucci, B. Soden and P. Zhai (2007), Observations: Surface and Atmospheric Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, [Contributing Author] (PDF)

      (24)   Allan, R. P. (2007), Improved simulation of water vapour and clear-sky radiation using 24 hour forecasts from ERA40, Tellus, 59A, 336-343, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2007.00229.x. PDF

      (23)  Comer, R.E., A. Slingo, R.P. Allan (2007),Observations of the diurnal cycle of outgoing longwave radiation from the Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget instrument, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L02823, doi:10.1029/2006GL028229. PDF Version
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      (22)  Slingo, A., T. P. Ackerman, R. P. Allan, E. I. Kassianov, S. A. McFarlane, G. J. Robinson, J. C. Barnard, M. A. Miller, J. E. Harries, J. E. Russell, and S. Dewitte (2006), Observations of the impact of a major Saharan dust storm on the Earth's radiation balance, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L24817, doi:10.1029/2006GL027869. PDF Version

      (21)   Allan, R. P. (2006), Variability in clear-sky longwave radiative cooling of the atmosphere J. Geophys. Res., 111, D22105, doi:10.1029/2006JD007304. PDF Version

      (20)   Bony, S., R. Colman, V.M. Kattsov, R.P. Allan, C.S. Bretherton, J.-J. Dufresne, A. Hall, S. Hallegatte, M.M. Holland, W. Ingram, D.A. Randall, B.J. Soden, G. Tselioudis, and M.J. Webb (2006), How well do we understand and evaluate climate change feedback processes?, J. Climate, 19, 3445-3482. (PDF) (HTML)
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      (19)  Uppala, S. M., P.W. Kallberg, A.J. Simmons, U. Andrae, V. da Costa Bechtold, M. Fiorino, J.K Gibson, J. Haseler, A. Hernandez, G.A. Kelly, X. Li, K. Onogi, S. Saarinen, N. Sokka, R.P. Allan, E. Andersson, K. Arpe, M.A. Balmaseda, A.C.M. Beljaars, L. van de Berg, J. Bidlot, N. Bormann, S. Caires, F. Chevallier, A. Dethof, M. Dragosavac, M. Fisher, M. Fuentes, S. Hagemann, E. Holm, B.J. Hoskins, L. Isaksen, P.A.E.M. Janssen, R. Jenne, A.P. McNally, J.-F. Mahfouf, J.-J. Morcrette, N.A Rayner, R.W. Saunders, P. Simon, A. Sterl, K.E. Trenberth, A. Untch, D. Vasiljevic, P. Viterbo and J. Woollen (2005), The ERA-40 Re-analysis, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 131, 2961-3012, doi:10.1256/qj.04.176. (PDF)

      (18)  Zveryaev, I.I. and R. P. Allan (2005), Water vapor variability in the tropics and its links to dynamics and precipitation, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D21112, doi:10.1029/2005JD006033. ( PDF versions of article and colour versions of Figure 13 and Figure 14)

      (17)  Allan, R. P., A. Slingo, S.F. Milton I. Culverwell (2005), Exploitation of Geostationary Earth Radition Budget data using simulations from a numerical weather prediction model: Methodology and data validation, J. Geophys. Res., 110, D14111, doi:10.1029/2004JD005698. (PDF)

      (16)  Harries, J. E. and coauthors including A. Slingo and R. P. Allan (2005), The Geostationary Earth Radiation Budget (GERB) Experiment, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 86, 945-960, doi:10.1175/BAMS-86-7-945. (PDF)

      (15)  Haywood, J. M., R. P. Allan, I. Culverwell, A. Slingo, S. Milton, J. M. Edwards and N. Clerbaux (2005), Can desert dust explain the outgoing longwave radiation anomaly over the Sahara during July 2003? J. Geophys. Res., 110, D05105, doi:10.1029/2004JD005232. (PDF) | Colour Figures (PDF).
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      (14)  Allan, R. P., M. A. Ringer, J. A. Pamment and A. Slingo (2004), Simulation of the Earth's radiation budget by the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts 40-year Reanalysis (ERA40) J. Geophys. Res., 109, D18107, doi:10.1029/2004JD004816. PDF version
      (13)  Ringer, M. A. and R. P. Allan (2004), Evaluating climate model simulations of tropical cloud Tellus, 56A, 308-327, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2004.00061.x. PDF Version


      (12)  Allan, R. P., M. A. Ringer, and A. Slingo (2003), Evaluation of moisture in the Hadley Centre Climate Model using simulations of HIRS water vapour channel radiances, Quarterly Journal of Royal Met. Soc., 129, 3371-3389, doi:10.1256/qj.02.217. PDF Version

      (11)  Brindley, H. and R. P. Allan (2003), Simulations of the effects of inter-annual and decadal variability on the clear-sky outgoing longwave radiation spectrum, Quarterly Journal of Royal Met. Soc., 129, 2971-2988, doi:10.1256/qj.02.216. PDF version

      (10)  Allan, R. P. and M. A. Ringer (2003), Inconsistencies between satellite estimates of longwave cloud forcing and dynamical fields from reanalyses, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(9), 1491, doi:10.1029/2003GL017019. PDF Version

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      (9)   Allan, R. P., V. Ramaswamy and A. Slingo (2002), A diagnostic analysis of atmospheric moisture and clear-sky radiative feedback in the Hadley Centre and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) climate models, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D17), 4329, DOI: 10.1029/2001JD001131. PDF Version

      (8)  Allan, R. P., A. Slingo and V. Ramaswamy (2002), Analysis of moisture variability in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts 15-year reanalysis over the tropical oceans, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D15), 4230, DOI: 10.1029/2001JD001132. PDF Version

      (7)  Allan, R. P., A. Slingo and M. A. Ringer (2002), Influence of dynamics on the changes in tropical cloud radiative forcing during the 1998 El Niño, J. Climate, 15, 1979-1986, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<1979:IODOTC>2.0.CO;2. PDF Version/ HTML Version (CORRECTION 14 March 2003)
  •   Trenberth, K. E., B. A. Wielicki, A. D. Del Genio, T. Wong, J. Chen, B. E. Carlson, R. P. Allan, F. Robertson, H. Jacobowitz, A. Slingo, D. A. Randall, J. T. Kiehl, B. J. Soden, C. T. Gordon, A. J. Miller, S.-K. Yang, and J. Susskind (2002), Changes in tropical cloud and radiation, Science Online, 296, 2095a, doi:10.1126/science.296.5576.2095a. PDF Version.

      (6)  Allan, R. P. and A. Slingo (2002), Can current climate forcings explain the spatial and temporal signatures of decadal OLR variations?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(7), 1141, DOI: 10.1029/2001GL014620. PDF Version

      (5)  Wielicki, B. A., T. M. Wong, R. P. Allan, A. Slingo, J. T. Kiehl, B. J. Soden, C. T. Gordon, A. J. Miller, S.-K. Yang, D. A. Randall, F. Robertson, J. Susskind and H. Jacobowitz (2002), Evidence for Large Decadal Variability in the Tropical Mean Radiative Energy Budget, Science, 295, 841-844, doi: 10.1126/science.1065837. PDF (also see Supplemental Details)*# (NASA Langly Reid Award)
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    2000 and last millenium

      (4)  Slingo, A., J. A. Pamment, R. P. Allan and P. S. Wilson (2000), Water Vapour Feedbacks in the ECMWF Re-Analyses and Hadley Centre Climate Model, J. Climate 13, 3080-3098, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<3080:WVFITE>2.0.CO;2. PDF version

      (3)  Allan, R. P. (2000), Evaluation of Simulated Clear-sky Longwave Irradiance at the Surface using Ground-based Radiometric Observations, J. Climate 13, 1951-1964, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<1951:EOSCSL>2.0.CO;2. (PDF)

      (2)  Allan, R. P., K.P. Shine, A. Slingo and J.A. Pamment (1999), The dependence of clear-sky outgoing longwave radiation on surface temperature and relative humidity, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 125, 2103-2126,
    doi:10.1002/qj.49712555809 PDF
  •   Allan, R. P., Modelling the variability of the Earth's Radiation Budget, PhD Thesis, Reading, 1998. PDF Version
      (1)  Allan, R. P. and A. Slingo (1998), Simulated Long-wave Clear-sky Irradiance over the Ocean: Spatial and Temporal Variability 1979-1993, Phys. Chem. Earth., 23, 599-604, doi:10.1016/S0079-1946(98)00080-9. PDF

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    Under Review/Preparation

    Richard P. Allan
    Location: Department of Meteorology (2U15)
    Telephone: +44 (0)118 378 5568

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